There could be bad news coming according to Geopolitical expert George Friedman, who believes an attack on North Korea is imminent.
If it does come to this, let’s pray our military takes care of the situation quickly and thoroughly.
The US is preparing to attack North Korea, according to Geopolitical Futures founder George Friedman — setting the stage for a difficult, messy war with potentially catastrophic consequences.
Speaking Monday to a rapt audience at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference in Orlando, Friedman said that while it was unlikely the US would take action before President Donald Trump returns home at the weekend, North Korea’s actions appeared to have “offered the US no alternative” to a clash.
According to Geopolitical Futures analysis, evidence is mounting that the enmity between the two is escalating to a point where war is inevitable.
Friedman said that on May 20, the USS Carl Vinson supercarrier and USS Ronald Reagan were both within striking distance of North Korea.
Additionally, more than 100 F-16 aircraft are conducting daily exercises in the area, a tactic that foreshadowed the beginning of Desert Storm in 1991.
F-35 aircraft have also been deployed to the area, and US government representatives are expected to brief Guam on civil defense, terrorism, and Korea on May 31.
All of these strategic moves telegraph one outcome — conflict.
Friedman’s decision to make public his focus on North Korea comes days after the secretive state’s latest ballistic missile launch. The UN Security Council condemned its “highly destabilizing behavior and flagrant and provocative defiance” of the organization.
Seoul in the crosshairs
Problems with any conflict are myriad. The 25 million people of the Seoul metropolitan area lie in reach of what Friedman called a “stunning mass of [North Korean] artillery.” Any strike on North Korea would likely result in a retributive attack on Seoul.
“We cannot afford the kind of casualties this will create,” Friedman said, adding that the US needed to neutralize the artillery by strategic bombardment.
A second problem for the US is that any conflict would necessarily rely on imperfect intelligence, and the effect of incorrect information could take a devastating human toll.
Friedman also called attention to Andersen Air Force Base in Guam, saying that a North Korean attack on the base would be Kim Jong Un’s only chance at delaying the war.
Pointedly branding the North Korean elites “neither crazy nor stupid,” Friedman said they had “homicidal, but not suicidal tendencies.”
“We are facing a war that is not simple,” he said, adding that Russia and China were both washing their hands of the matter.
North Korea threat: US official warns ‘inevitable’ regime develops ICBM
A U.S. defense official said Tuesday that– if left unchecked– it is “inevitable” that North Korea will develop a nuclear device that has intercontinental capabilities.
Lt. Gen. Vincent Stewart, the director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said at a Senate hearing that North Korea is working to produce a device that can be transported on a ballistic missile.
“If left on its current trajectory, the regime will ultimately succeed in fielding a nuclear-armed missile capable of threatening the United States homeland,” Stewart said.
Stewart’s remarks are the latest indication of the U.S.’ increased worries about North Korea’s missile and nuclear weapons program, which Pyongyang has said is only being developed for self-defense.
Stewart was joined by Director of National Intelligence Dan Coasts.
Coats added that North Korea’s testing over the last year indicates Kim Jong Un is intent on proving the isolated regime’s capability. The North’s public claims suggest it could conduct its first flight of an intercontinental ballistic missile this year.
North Korea has significantly speeded up its missile tests over the past year or so and appears to be making tangible progress toward developing an arsenal that poses a threat to South Korea and Japan — which together host about 80,000 U.S. troops — and developing an intercontinental ballistic missile capable of reaching the mainland United States.
North Korea’s often-stated goal is to perfect a nuclear warhead that it can put on a missile capable of hitting Washington or other U.S. cities.
Its state media, meanwhile, have stepped up their calls for even more missile launches because of what the government says is an increasingly hostile policy from President Trump.
Stewart and Coats’ remarks came as the heads of six U.S. intelligence agencies reviewed a slew of national security challenges facing the United States, warning about deteriorating security in Afghanistan, China’s rising challenge, and Russian and other countries’ use of cyberspace to target the U.S. and its allies.