Published January 7, 2024
Former President Donald Trump is on track to win more black votes than any other Republican presidential candidate in history.
A review of polls conducted by Bloomberg found that Trump is poised to take 14 percent to 30 percent of the black vote.
Trump only won eight percent of the black vote in 2020, according to data analyzed by the Pew Research Center. This small number was still more than any other Republican candidate before him.
Newsweek reports:
The NAACP estimated that 5 million African Americans voted in the 1960 presidential election when Richard Nixon won 32 percent of the Black vote, according to Politico. Since then, the Black population has increased from around 10.83 percent or 19,418,190 people, according to an analysis of census data, to 13.6 percent of the overall population or 46,936,733 people.
The Black voting turnout has slightly increased in presidential elections from 58.5 percent of the eligible voting population in 1964, the earliest election for which such figures are available, to 58.7 percent in 2020, according to Statista. This means if Trump wins more than 13 percent of the vote share, he will gain the highest proportion of the Black vote since Nixon in 1960 and more individual Black votes.
In 2020, 92 percent of black voters went with Joe Biden.
“The Black vote helped him win in swing states like Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, with Biden securing 88 percent of the Black vote in Georgia in 2020, for instance, but overall only winning the state by 11,779 votes, or 0.24 percent,” Newsweek reports.
Supporting for Biden has been steadily dwindling for the Democrat incumbent.
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SOURCE: www.thegatewaypundit.com
RELATED: Donald Trump Poised to Win More Black Votes Than Any Republican in History
Published January 7, 2024
Donald Trump may win more Black votes than any other Republican presidential candidate in history in the upcoming presidential election.
According to national and swing state polls reviewed by Bloomberg, the former president and GOP front runner has between 14 percent and 30 percent of the Black vote share as the country heads into an election year.
This is far beyond the 8 percent of the Black vote the Pew Research Center said the Republican won in the 2020 presidential election and more than any Republican candidate before him.
The NAACP estimated that 5 million African Americans voted in the 1960 presidential election when Richard Nixon won 32 percent of the Black vote, according to Politico. Since then, the Black population has increased from around 10.83 percent or 19,418,190 people, according to an analysis of census data, to 13.6 percent of the overall population or 46,936,733 people.
The Black voting turnout has slightly increased in presidential elections from 58.5 percent of the eligible voting population in 1964, the earliest election for which such figures are available, to 58.7 percent in 2020, according to Statista. This means if Trump wins more than 13 percent of the vote share, he will gain the highest proportion of the Black vote since Nixon in 1960 and more individual Black votes.
Democratic President Joe Biden, on the other hand, attracted 92 percent of the Black vote in 2020, compared with just 8 percent for Trump, according to analysis by the Pew Research Center. The Black vote helped him win in swing states like Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, with Biden securing 88 percent of the Black vote in Georgia in 2020, for instance, but overall only winning the state by 11,779 votes, or 0.24 per cent.
But polls conducted in 2023 suggest the incumbent president is now losing support among Black voters.
Indeed, his favorability among Black voters in seven swing states slipped 7 percentage points from October to December 2023, to 61 percent, according to a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. Trump’s favorability in the same period has remained steady at around 25 percent.
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SOURCE: www.newsweek.com
RELATED: Biden rings in New Year with black, Hispanic, young voters abandoning him: poll
Published January 1, 2024
President Biden is heading into 2024 with a large coalition of voters leaving him behind, a poll released Monday shows.
The USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll indicates the president is trailing former President Donald Trump 37% to 39% due to his inability to hold down the coalition of voters that propelled him to victory in 2020.
The 81-year-old incumbent is hemorrhaging support from black voters, young voters and Hispanic voters.
Among black voters, Biden’s support has declined to 63%, down from 87% in 2020. He still leads Trump’s 12% support by a yawning margin.
Voters under 35 and Hispanic voters have jumped to support Trump, with the former president leading in both demographics.
Trump now leads Biden 37%-33% among young voters and 39%-34% among Hispanic voters, according to the poll.
Biden’s slip in the key demographics spells bad news for his reelection campaign, as other recent polls show him struggling to beat Trump in several swing states.
The president’s approval numbers remain underwater, according to the new poll. Merely 39% of voters said they approved of Biden’s job in the Oval Office and 58% disapproved.
He fared slightly better than Vice President Kamala Harris, who had a 33% approval rating with 57% disapproval.
The poll also shows some positivity for Biden in terms of the economy, which voters say is an important issue in the upcoming election cycle.
Twenty-nine percent of respondents said they viewed the economy as in recovery, up from 21% in October.
He also is the clear frontrunner in the Democratic primary and faces no serious challenge.
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SOURCE: www.nypost.com
