By Paul Homewood
Dellers fires both barrels at the climate porn merchants.
The vultures of climate alarmism are just loving this run of hurricane disasters.
Whatever the spin the goal is always the same: to exploit the personal tragedies of the disaster victims for political gain by dishonestly pretending that natural extreme weather events are somehow connected with “man-made climate change.”
Some are more blatant about it than others.
This scientist from German’s hard-left, climate-alarmism-promoting Potsdam Institute, for example, knows that there is no credible link between hurricane activity and climate change. So instead, plays the “climate change made it worse” game. Which, of course, is more than good enough for Bloomberg…
Climate change can “badly exacerbate” the impact of the hurricanes, even if it’s not the initial cause, he said.
This journalist from The Nation, on the other hand, isn’t in the mood even to pretend to heed any tedious, irrelevant crap like meteorological expertise or scientific evidence. Why would you bother with that when your feelings – and The Narrative – are more than enough to enable you to pin the blame on “Trump and all climate deniers” for committing a “crime against humanity.”
The hysteria isn’t being helped by our failing mainstream media’s penchant for disaster inflation. For example, The Daily Telegraph – which used to be a respected conservative newspaper with foreign correspondents across the globe and a sticklerish regard for accuracy – has been billing Hurricane Irma as “the most deadly storm in history.”
Most deadly in history? Not even close, points out a mildly disgusted Paul Homewood.
Here, courtesy of Wikipedia, are the deadliest hurricanes:
Yes, Irma is undoubtedly a very powerful hurricane is causing enormous damage.
But as Fox News has reported, it’s not even the worst of the last forty years, let alone the worst ever.
Four other storms have had winds as strong in the overall Atlantic region but they were in the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico, which are usually home to warmer waters that fuel cyclones.
Hurricane Allen hit 190 mph in 1980, while 2005’s Wilma, 1988’s Gilbert and a 1935 great Florida Key storm all had 185 mph winds.
Plus, as Homewood notes, we have no way of gauging precisely where Irma stands in meteorological history because the methods used to measure hurricanes have changed so much over the years.
This chart – produced by hurricane expert Chris Landsea in 2012 – illustrates the point.
None of this is to play down the misery of those who have lost lives and property as a result of these weather disasters. But it can’t be stated often enough how ugly, cynical, dishonest, manipulative and irresponsible it is of climate alarmists – aided and abetted by the failing mainstream media – to be continually promoting the abject lie that a) these hurricanes are somehow man-made and b) that man has it in his power to stop them by burning less fossil fuel.
This is junk science. It’s fake news. It’s nonsense on stilts.
And it’s never going to stop because this isn’t about science and it isn’t about the truth, it’s about control, as Steve Goddard reminds us in this excellent essay.
It ends with a typically apposite quote by HL Mencken:
The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.
Claim: Big Oil Must Pay for Harvey and Irma
by Eric Worrall
A new study claims that the contribution of big oil companies to hurricane intensity can be calculated with sufficient precision to determine how much fossil fuel companies should pay as compensation for storm damage.
Big Oil must pay for climate change. Now we can calculate how much
It is possible for scientific evidence to help apportion responsibility for climate damages among fossil fuel producers. Our paper shows how.
Peter C Frumhoff and Myles Allen
Friday 8 September 2017 00.00 AEST
As communities in coastal Texas and Louisiana confront the damage wrought by Hurricane Harvey, another hurricane, Irma, fueled by abnormally warm waters, is barreling into the Caribbean and threatening Puerto Rico and Florida.
We know that the costs of both hurricanes will be enormous and that climate change will have made them far larger than they would have been otherwise. How much larger? Careful studies will take time but the evidence that climate change is warming ocean waters, increasing both sea level and the risk of extreme precipitation in these regions is well established.
Today, we and several colleagues are publishing a peer-reviewed paper in the journal Climatic Change that shows it is possible for scientific evidence to help apportion responsibility for climate damages among fossil fuel producers.
Using a simple, well-established climate model, our study for the first time quantifies the amount of sea level rise and increase in global surface temperatures that can be traced to the emissions from specific fossil fuel companies.
Strikingly, nearly 30% of the rise in global sea level between 1880 and 2010 resulted from emissions traced to the 90 largest carbon producers. Emissions traced to the 20 companies named in California communities’ lawsuits contributed 10% of global sea level rise over the same period. More than 6% of the rise in global sea level resulted from emissions traced to ExxonMobil, Chevron and BP, the three largest contributors.
We have the data needed to link the emissions traced to products sold by a fossil fuel company to a specific share of changes in temperature and sea level rise. Determining who should pay what for climate damages is a social and political question. But this kind of scientific work can help inform public and policy debate over the issue and potentially offers an approach that can help juries and judges to monetize damages in cases like the California communities’ lawsuits.
It may take tens to hundreds of billions of dollars to support disaster relief and recovery among Gulf coast communities affected by Hurricane Harvey. ExxonMobil, Chevron and BP have collectively pledged only$2.75m.
As scientists further identify the role that climate change has made to exacerbating this tragedy, courts of law and public opinion should judge whether they are paying their fair share.
Peter C Frumhoff is the Director of Science and Policy at the Union of Concerned Scientists. Myles R Allen is Professor of Geosystem Science in the School of Geoography and the Environment, University of Oxford
Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/07/big-oil-must-pay-for-climate-change-here-is-how-to-calculate-how-much
The abstract of the study;
The rise in global atmospheric CO2, surface temperature, and sea level from emissions traced to major carbon producers
B. Ekwurzel, J. Boneham, M. W. Dalton, R. Heede, R. J. Mera, M. R. Allen, P. C. Frumhoff
Researchers have quantified the contributions of industrialized and developing nations’ historical emissions to global surface temperature rise. Recent findings that nearly two-thirds of total industrial CO2 and CH4 emissions can be traced to 90 major industrial carbon producers have drawn attention to their potential climate responsibilities. Here, we use a simple climate model to quantify the contribution of historical (1880–2010) and recent (1980–2010) emissions traced to these producers to the historical rise in global atmospheric CO2, surface temperature, and sea level. Emissions traced to these 90 carbon producers contributed ∼57% of the observed rise in atmospheric CO2, ∼42–50% of the rise in global mean surface temperature (GMST), and ∼26–32% of global sea level (GSL) rise over the historical period and ∼43% (atmospheric CO2), ∼29–35% (GMST), and ∼11–14% (GSL) since 1980 (based on best-estimate parameters and accounting for uncertainty arising from the lack of data on aerosol forcings traced to producers). Emissions traced to seven investor-owned and seven majority state-owned carbon producers were consistently among the top 20 largest individual company contributors to each global impact across both time periods. This study lays the groundwork for tracing emissions sourced from industrial carbon producers to specific climate impacts and furthers scientific and policy consideration of their historical responsibilities for climate change.
Read more: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-017-1978-0
Back in the real world, even NOAA doesn’t think the alleged impact of anthropogenic CO2 on storm intensity is detectable. (h/t Benny Peiser)
… It is premature to conclude that human activities–and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity. That said, human activities may have already caused changes that are not yet detectable due to the small magnitude of the changes or observational limitations, or are not yet confidently modeled (e.g., aerosol effects on regional climate). …
Read more: https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/
The Myles Allen study admits a joke size climate sensitivity range of 1.5C / doubling to 4.5C per doubling of atmospheric CO2, unknown impacts from a variety of factors such as aerosols, and a need for further study; an interesting set of admissions for scientists who provided the initial impression that they have a precise means of modelling anthropogenic damage to the climate on a per company basis.
How should oil companies and other fossil fuel businesses respond? What should be obvious to oil executives and shareholders is more needs to be done to publicly challenge scientifically suspect climate claims which threaten their businesses. If you try to appease your opponents, if you let their wild claims stand, it just encourages them.
Devastation left by Hurricane Irma on Dutch Caribbean islands (AERIAL FOOTAGE)
Rescue operations have begun on the Netherlands overseas Caribbean islands of St. Eustatius, St. Maarten and Saba, after Hurricane Irma caused widespread flooding and damage.
Jennifer Lawrence is a Complete Idiot
She thinks Mother Nature sent the hurricanes to punish America for voting Trump.