For everything you’ve heard from the Clinton campaign, you’d think there isn’t a single woman out there whose going to vote for Donald Trump, but that’s simply not true.
In fact, there is no “gap” with women when it comes to Donald Trump – not really.
Women have always traditionally voted Democratic, but in the 2016 race, it appears Donald Trump’s appeal among women is now exactly the same as it was with Mitt Romney in 2012.
In just the last three days – after the FBI’s announcement that it is looking into a new batch of Clinton/Abedin/Weiner emails, Trump’s support among women has increased an amazing five points, IBD reports.
Almost four in ten women – 39 percent – say they’re supporting Trump, compared to 34 percent who supported him as recently as Saturday.
Because of that jump, Trump – who is a three-time divorcee and often has rather, um … salty… things to say about women, is doing as well as Mitt Romney was doing in an Oct. 28 Investor’s Business Daily poll in 2012.
Interestingly, that 2012 poll only asked about Obama and Romney, while this poll includes third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein.
Trump is polling worse among married women than Romney did – 46 to 51 percent, but better among single women compared to Romney, 28 to Romney’s 23 percent.
On the other side of the gender gap, Trump gets 50% of the male vote, the same share as Romney. But Clinton is doing slightly worse among men than Obama was at this point in the 2012 race — she captures just 38% of men’s votes, compared with Obama’s 40%.
Meanwhile, Trump’s supposed problem with Republicans isn’t showing up in the polls, either. While many prominent GOPers have refused to support his candidacy — Ohio Gov. John Kasich announced that he wrote in Sen. John McCain’s name when he voted early — Trump gets 88% support among likely Republican voters, the same as Romney. Four percent of Republicans say they plan to vote for Clinton, which is also identical to the share of Republicans who said they supported Obama in 2012.
Trump is actually doing slightly better with independents than Romney — 48% support Trump vs. 46% who backed Romney.
Trump is also doing far better among working class voters — 50% of whom back Trump vs 35% who supported Romney.
Of course, with six days left, these numbers are just that – numbers. The national polls still show Trump slightly behind, so he has a lot of catching up to do.